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Conservative Craps Strategy

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Joegambler

I don't have a name for the system that I use. It is a mostly conservative and adaptable way of playing. In describing my style, I'll start first with an approach that is conservative. That's how I like to start play. I want to get the feel of the craps table, see which way the dice are running and then bet accordingly. Conservative Craps Strategy. MINIMAL RISK & CONSISTENT WINS. Just as the name indicates, when you play conservatively, your goal is long term profit. Rs minigame spotlight. Nevertheless, many Craps players want instant wins which often leads to betting patterns that are unrealistic and unlikely to yield a profit. The basic bet in craps is the Pass Line bet: The pass line bet with odds, is the best way imo to play crap's. You could place a bet on either the 6 or the 8.one or the other,along with your pass line bet with odds, if the point is 6 maybe. Jan 21, 2019 In ten-rich shoes, hitting stiff hands becomes more dangerous, favoring the more conservative player strategy. Insurance: On average, when the dealer has an ace up, the remaining cards in blackjack will be 30.87% tens (based on a six-deck game), making insurance a bad bet. Jan 25, 2021 Craps is a game where many bettors get to stake their chips on a roll of the dice. The table layout makes the game seem a little confusing at first, but the rules are easy to pick up with experience. Before stepping up to a table, read about the kinds of bets available and how a round of craps play out.

I am a new craps player. I like the don't pass line bet. Usually I don't lay odds unless the point is a 4/10. In which case, I then lay odds in the amount of double my don't pass bet(new and and still learning the lingo). It's a conservative strategy, but I conform to the win small lose small idiology. Does anybody have any advice on other conservative/low risk improvements to my game? Also, somebody told me wrong bettors shouldn't make place bets. Is that true?
cclub79
If you want to improve a little, lay the odds on all the points. They are paid at fair odds, so even though it seems you'll win more if you just stick with 4 and 10, you don't really since the payout is 1:2. You win more often, but less money. You'll do fine in the long run laying odds on any of the points equally.
seattledice
I agree with cclub that you should lay odds on all points.
I believe that making place bets while betting wrong would be hedging, which would violate commandment 7 (http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/tencom.html).
You are trying to win when a 7 is thrown, so why make a bet that would lose?
kenarman
Also, somebody told me wrong bettors shouldn't make place bets. Is that true?
A place bet would be hedging and doesn't make a lot of sense. If you want to get more numbers working and more action make some don't come bets with odds. Personally I get way to board at a craps table with only one number working.
Be careful when you follow the masses, the M is sometimes silent.
jeremykay

Does anybody have any advice on other conservative/low risk improvements to my game? Casino moons no deposit bonus codes.


By conservative, it sounds like you want to play a low variance game. If that's the case, I think you're doing it the best you can right now. Just make the minimum bet on the don't pass line. If you want to increase your action without adding to the house advantage, lay max odds on all numbers whenever possible. The only way to reduce your variance further is to hedge, but that just puts more money in the house's pocket and it's not much fun either!
Joegambler
Could you explain what low variance means better. Also, if I increase my wager by laying odds on all points doesn't that only level the playing field for the house. By establishing a point, atleast the way I was looking at it, I felt like I already had them 'over a barrel', because seven is the most likley number to come up.
jeremykay

Could you explain what low variance means better. Also, if I increase my wager by laying odds on all points doesn't that only level the playing field for the house. By establishing a point, atleast the way I was looking at it, I felt like I already had them 'over a barrel', because seven is the most likley number to come up. https://allospackemsong-softwaremacemhomesendzr.peatix.com.


Variance is the distribution of results around the mean. So you may expect to lose about $1.36 making 10 x $10 don't pass bets, but actually you may lose $100 or win $100. Most of the time, however, your result will be relatively close to the mean of -$1.36 compared with other bets (like the hard ways) that are more volatile.
It seems to be a common point of confusion about laying odds on don't bets. Yes, after the point is established, you are more likely to win the bet than to lose. However, before the point is established, you are more likely to lose it than win! Getting a point established is the hard part for a don't bet. Every time you put a bet on that don't pass line, the house has an advantage. Laying odds has a 0% house advantage no matter what. Let's say you're contemplating laying $10 odds. Think about what else you'd do with that $10 if you didn't use it for odds. You could place another don't pass bet (or don't come bet), which has an expected value of $9.86 or you could place the odds bet with an expected value of $10.00.
See this thread for much more debate and examples on this issue.
was reading wiz's craps faq explain me this

Craps Strategy For Beginners

wb4sdz

I agree with cclub that you should lay odds on all points.
I believe that making place bets while betting wrong would be hedging, which would violate commandment 7
Bc movie channel. You are trying to win when a 7 is thrown, so why make a bet that would lose? Jurassic park online slot.


Yes, lay odds on all points, or don't come points, rolled. For bankroll management, I limit my exposure to no more than three numbers per shooter. I bet the point (on the dark side), with odds. I bet the next number (what would be the first come bet), with odds. And then if either are made, I bet one, and only one, additonal DC or DP number, with max odds on all bets. This way, even if one number is thrown, the other two make up for the loss incurred by the first one. If two numbers are thrown, and if the last one I win, by hitting big red, makes up somewhat, but not entirely, for the first two lost. This keeps me from 'chasing the seven', by making bet after bet on the dark side when a hot shooter has the dice and is decimating the wrong betters.
It is a slow, but (as close to) 'sure' way of at least staying in the game for the long haul, and waiting for the inevitable streak of 'bad luck' that the right players don't want to see.
BTW, for a $10 table, don't even think of buying in with less than $600. You won't survive it. And for some reason it doesn't scale proportionately, for $20, with max odds, you need $1500 buy in to survive.
MrV
Nick the Greek, a well known don't bettor, is reported to have said to the effect: 'If I could do
it all over again, I wouldn't have laid odds.'
Try this series of don't bets:
2 unit don't pass, then 1 unit don't come, then 2 unit don't come.
Wait for seven out: do not replace numbers if picked off.
SplittingAA
Conservative Craps Strategy
Hey Joe thanks for the thread. Your plan of action is sound; just stay away from the middle of the table and as others have mentioned don't hedge your 'don'ts' with place bets. I too was thinking of starting a similar thread in hopes of getting some constructive critique of my craps strategy.
Unlike yourself however I will be placing my chips on the 'right' side of the line. As it has been discussed on many other threads already, my entertainment funds are for entertainment. I get more value when I am cajoling with my table mates and having a good time.

Craps Betting Strategy


Thus here is my conservative craps strategy: I like to get my action on the 6 and 8 with full odds, but I don't want to buy, place, or put it there. Therefore, I only use the pass line and come bets to establish a point on the 6 or the 8 then back it up with max odds of 5X to 10X depending on the table minimum. I will continue to make a pass/come bet until I either establish the 6 or 8, or I establish a max of 3 points. At that time I do nothing. If I have one of my two favorite points I wait for it to hit or Big Red. If I haven't got the 6 or 8, I wait for one of my other points to hit then replace it with another pass/come bet or Big Red again.

Winning Craps Strategy


This strategy has several advantages IMO. First, lower variance using only the 6 and 8 for max bet. Second, is the natural insurance that is created by following up a weaker pass line point with a come bet that cancels out or at least minimizes the effects of a 7-out.

Conservative Craps Strategy

I have simulated this using WinCraps with moderate success. It usually more than doubles the original bankroll before it eventually bankrupts. The bankrupts tend to come after several thousand rolls. [starting bankroll = $500, minimum bet = $5, odds on the 6 or 8 = 5X]
Phil: I'm pretty sure that's illegal too. Alan: Yeah, maybe after 9/11, where everybody got so sensitive. Thanks a lot, bin Laden.

Conservative Craps Strategy

Do methodsMix of both methodsDon't Methods
  1. 132 inside **
  2. 140 system**
  3. 2410 method**
  4. 3 Hit climb**
  5. 3 number progression/regression**
  6. $22 inside regression/build **
  7. $22 inside method **
  8. $32 Across Martingale**
  9. 34 inside **
  10. 4/10 Point progression **
  11. 4 hits for 1 point**
  12. 5 & 9 Progressive**
  13. 6 and 8 betting system**
  14. 6 and 8 Let it ride**
  15. 6 and 8 one 1 hit profit**
  16. 6 and 8 progressive 2**
  17. 6 & 8 P/R money machine**
  18. 6 and 8 regression 2 **
  19. 6 or 8 method **
  20. 6 & 8 opposing press**
  21. 6/8 Special **
  22. 6/8 Survival method **
  23. 7 Method **
  24. $66 inside regression **
  25. All aboard**
  26. All and any**
  27. Anything but seven **
  28. Anything but 7 Ho Down**
  29. Army Method **
  30. Army Method(6 numbers)**
  31. Army Method (Conservative) **
  32. Army Method (variation)**
  33. Balls and Bucks**
  34. Bankroll protection **
  35. BDalt system **
  36. Budget Six and Eight Progression**
  37. Craps: A Winning Strategy (brief) ***
  38. Come bet step up**
  39. Dave's Super 6 - 8 system**
  40. Five six hop **
  41. Full Court Press **
  42. Gordo system **
  43. Hit & Run method **
  44. Hundred dollar Ho down**
  45. iDoc's Big Umbrella**
  46. Inside numbers & field **
  47. Inside field**
  48. Inside play **
  49. Iron Cross **
  50. Modified 3 Point Molly **
  51. Number Counting**
  52. Pass line aggressive***
  53. Pass line conservative***
  54. Pass plus 3 come bets**
  55. Place/reduce/turn off/take down **
  56. Betting by Point number**
  57. Reverse Army **
  58. Single # follow **
  59. Stat system **
  60. Stevie J 6&8 power press system**
  61. The Squeeze Box**
  62. Stokely System**
  63. Ultimate Crap Systems. 6 systems described ***
  64. Umbrella system **
  1. $22 inside and DC**
  2. 4/2 Doey-Don't **
  3. 44 inside, no 4 and 10
  4. 5 Count Variation **
  5. Basic don't method revised**
  6. Boozer's Delight **
  7. Cancellation Twist **
  8. Cat & mouse **
  9. Come out hedge **
  10. Cozac's Hedge **
  11. Crappy Hedge **
  12. Crap Quickies. Listing of 34 methods of play.
  13. Dance **
  14. DC7**
  15. Do and Don't **
  16. Do and Don't DC**
  17. Do and Don't for 10X odds tables**
  18. Do and Don't chase**
  19. Do and Don't progression**
  20. Don't / 5 Count**
  21. Don't/place bet**
  22. Event Grind **
  23. Follow the trend**
  24. Follow the trend 2**
  25. Grafstein variation**
  26. Heaven help me Hit & run**
  27. Hundred Dollar Ho down mix**
  28. Inside hedge **
  29. Karno Hedge **
  30. Mike's hedge**
  31. Milt's Don't method **
  32. One roll vulnerability method**
  33. One roll vulnerability method by buying**
  34. Pass/Don't Pass**
  35. Place bet regressive hedge **
  36. Place/Lay bet hedge**
  37. Team Work **
  38. Todd's Mix **
  39. Triangle system**
  40. Mix of both methods with field**
  1. 3 Point Molly Don't**
  2. 5 count on the dark side**
  3. Basic don't come***
  4. Come Out No 4 & 10**
  5. Dark side hedge**
  6. Don't come switch**
  7. Don't High hedge**
  8. Don't pass **
  9. Don't pass chase**
  10. Don't pass hedge **
  11. Don't Pass Martingale **
  12. Don't Pass Martingale 2**
  13. Don't progression/regression **
  14. Don't side **
  15. Patient Man **
  16. Sure Shot**
  17. Sure Shot Refined**
  18. Win-Plus Play**




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